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1 Dec 2015
EURUSD under downward pressure as crucial December approaches - ANZ
FXStreet (Delhi) – Brian Martin, Research Analyst at ANZ, suggests that December will be a crucial month for financial markets with the ECB and OPEC meetings next week and the FOMC meeting in mid-December (15-16).
Key Quotes
“Because of year end, liquidity may also be a key issue for markets. Much has already been priced in regarding upcoming central bank policy meetings and EUR/USD is approaching something of a crossroads as it nears this year’s lows around 1.0450.
• Key determinants of EUR/USD’s decline remain in place led by the slide in the oil price and widening 1y/1y swap differential.
• Essentially these encapsulate the fragile euro area inflation environment and assumed future policy divergence.
• Disappointment surrounding expected central bank policy moves and a supply response from OPEC may be needed to reverse the euro’s drop.”
Key Quotes
“Because of year end, liquidity may also be a key issue for markets. Much has already been priced in regarding upcoming central bank policy meetings and EUR/USD is approaching something of a crossroads as it nears this year’s lows around 1.0450.
• Key determinants of EUR/USD’s decline remain in place led by the slide in the oil price and widening 1y/1y swap differential.
• Essentially these encapsulate the fragile euro area inflation environment and assumed future policy divergence.
• Disappointment surrounding expected central bank policy moves and a supply response from OPEC may be needed to reverse the euro’s drop.”